Petroleum Science and Technology Forum ›› 2017, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (2): 1-7.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-302x.2017.02.01

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Optimization and Development Trend of China’s Petrochemical Industry

Li Yujing1,Chen Qingjun2, Zhao Yunfeng3   

  1. 1.China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Federation, Beijing 100723, China; 2. China National Petroleum & Chemical Planning Institute, Beijing 100013, China; 3. Ningbo International Investment Consulting Co., Ltd., Ningbo 315040, China
  • Online:2017-04-30 Published:2017-05-05
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我国石化工业优化发展趋势

李宇静1 陈庆俊2 赵云峰3   

  1. 1. 中国石油和化学工业联合会;2. 石油和化学工业规划院;3. 宁波国际投资咨询有限公司
  • 基金资助:
    国家发改委产业协调司项目“推动石化产业绿色发展的指导意见”(编号:2016-083)。

Abstract: China ranks on the forefront of the world for its total petrochemical industrial output. However, the industry as a whole remains nothing powerful. The oil refining sector faces a series of issues, such as structural surplus in productivity, further division of the trend for oil products, upgrading of oil products quality, and rapid development of replaceable fuels. Olefin industry faces a series of challenges, such as slowdown of consumption and demand growth rate, increasingly intense competition, and structural shortage. Xylene is currently in serious shortage. PX exporters have a say in the market to a larger extent. Currently, China has become the largest PTA producer in the world. Shortage of PX makes the profit of the whole industrial chain dependent on others, highlighting the risks of the industrial chain. China’s petrochemical industry needs to convert its growth pattern in next few years, upgrading itself into an industrial power from an industrial major. It is necessary to focus efforts on six areas – optimize layout and adhere to integrated development, optimize structure of olefin raw material and lower oil crude consumption growth for higher cost competitiveness, step up technological innovation and enhance conversion of catalytic diesel, develop high-end products and improve domestic market consumption level, accelerate elimination of outdated productivity and promote industrial upgrading, and appropriately deregulate export of oil products

 

摘要: 我国石油化工产业经济总量位居世界前列,但从整体来看仍然大而不强,其中炼油行业主要面临产能结 构性过剩、成品油需求走势进一步分化、成品油质量升级和替代燃料发展迅速等问题;烯烃行业面临消费和需求增速 放缓、竞争逐渐加剧、结构性短缺等挑战;对二甲苯目前缺口巨大,PX 出口商较大程度上掌握着市场话语权,而我国 目前已成为世界最大的PTA 生产国,PX 短缺导致整个产业链的利润受制于人,产业链风险凸显。未来几年我国石化 工业急需转变增长方式,由产业大国向产业强国转型升级,重点做好6 方面工作:优化布局,坚持一体化、集约化发 展;优化烯烃原料结构,降低原油消费增长,提升成本竞争力;加强技术创新,加大催化柴油转化力度;高端化发展, 补国内市场消费短板;加快淘汰落后产能,引导产业升级;适度放开成品油出口。

关键词: 石化工业, 炼油, 烯烃, 芳烃, 优化发展, 产能过剩, 结构性调整, 炼化一体化

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