石油科技论坛

石油科技论坛 ›› 2017, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (3): 50-54.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-302x.2017.03.09

• 环球石油 • 上一篇    下一篇

2017 年国际油服市场分析与趋势预测

姚云飞1　蒋海军1　王利军2　王敏生1　闫　娜1　孙　键1   

  1. 1. 中国石化石油工程技术研究院；2. 中国石化集团国际石油工程公司
  • 出版日期:2017-06-25 发布日期:2017-06-28
  • 基金资助:
    中石化石油工程技术服务有限公司科研项目“石油工程国际市场分析研究”（编号：SG16-29J）。

Analysis and Prediction of International Oilfield Service Market in 2007

Yao Yunfei1,Jiang Haijun1, Wang Lijun2, Wang Minsheng1,Yan Na1, Sun Jian1   

  1. 1.Sinopec Research Institute of Petroleum Engineering, Beijing 100101, China; 2. Sinopec International Petroleum Service Corporation, Beijing 100020, China
  • Online:2017-06-25 Published:2017-06-28
  • Supported by:
     

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摘要： 2016 年是世界石油市场再平衡的转折点，尽管油价探底回升，但多数石油公司继续削减油气勘探开发投 资规模，油服市场连续两年呈下跌态势。油服公司生存环境恶化，举步维艰，国际主要油服公司及时转变发展思路，开 展战略调整，发展特色技术，增强核心竞争力，大幅压缩成本。2017 年，油气市场再平衡过程仍将持续，供给保持相对 宽松，但幅度收窄。受欧佩克和非欧佩克国家减产协议的影响，油价将逐步震荡回升，但仍将保持低位。预计2017 年 Brent 和WTI 原油价格平均为56 美元/bbl 和54 美元/bbl。油价回升将带动油气勘探开发投资反弹，但反弹力度有限， 油服市场寒冬仍将持续，区域市场发展差异化特征明显，全球油服市场竞争格局将迎来重要变化，竞争更加惨烈。

 

关键词: 油价, 石油工程, 油服市场, 勘探开发投资, 趋势预测

Abstract: The year of 2016 was a turning point in re-balance of global petroleum market. Although the oil prices rebounded from the bottom, most oil companies continued to reduce investment in oil and gas exploration and development, making the oilfield service market decline for two consecutive years. Facing such a stern situation, international oilfield service majors adopted a series of measures, such as timely conversion of their development patterns, adjustment of their strategies, development of characteristic technology, reinforcement of core competitiveness and dramatic reduction of cost. The re-balance process of oil and gas market remains unchanged in 2017 while the supply is still kept in adequacy, but the magnitude is narrowed. Influenced by the production reducing agreements from OPEC and non-OPEC countries, the oil prices will gradually rise again with ups and downs, but still remain at a low level. Brent and WTI oil prices are estimated to average US$56 per barrel and US$54 per barrel respectively in 2017. The upturn in oil price will lead to recovery of oil and gas exploration and development investment, but the rebound is limited and the oilfield service market is still kept at bay. With obvious differences in regional market development, global oilfield service market will see significant changes in competitive patterns, making competition more intensified.

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