关键词: 能源安全, 国家战略, 稳油增气, 勘探开发, 发展路径

Abstract: China’s oil and gas industry has experienced four major strategic transformations since the 1950s, significantly promoting the country’s oil and gas industrial development and turning China into one of the main oil and gas producers from an oil-insufficient country. China has also established five major oil and gas cooperative regions overseas. Oil and gas holds the key to China’s energy security but it is also remaining as the weak link in the country’s energy supply. China’s dependence on oil and gas imports has dramatically climbed since the 21st century, substantially increasing the risks for oil and gas security. It is of great urgency to step up China’s domestic oil and gas exploration and development and highlight the key role of the domestic oil and gas supply. This paper systematically analyzes the transformation process of China’s oil and gas development strategy. According to the author, the realistic option for China to secure its oil and gas supplies is to carry out the “keeping oil production stable while increasing gas outputs” strategy under the new situation. It is proposed that “keeping oil production stable while increasing gas outputs” should be regarded as the national strategy during the 14th Five-Year Plan period. The paper also comes up with China’s future oil and gas development strategy in order to keep China’s oil production at 2×108t on a long-term basis and promote sustainable growth of natural gas production. In addition, it puts forth the suggestions and measures on sea and land use, technological innovation, structuring mechanism and taxation policies.