关键词: 能源展望, 油气行业, 市场趋势, 能源政策

Abstract: IEA, EIA, OPEC and ERI RAS as well as oil companies like BP and ExxonMobil have long been engaged in the research work of energy statistical and perspective analysis, which is of great influence. This article summarizes and analyzes the latest energy outlook reports of those energy organs and companies while comparing the different points presented in those reports and making elaboration of the oil and gas industrial development trend prior to 2030. This research includes that the economic and social development will continue to fuel global energy demand growth with more cleaner energy used at a higher efficiency. Oil market demand and supply are generally kept at stable while international oil price may be bounced from a low level. Natural gas development enters into its golden era. China’s energy consumption growth will slow down with gradual optimization of the structure. The United States, Russia and other countries will adjust their energy policies while diversification of energy imports becomes more apparent in consuming countries. The Chinese oil companies should adapt themselves to the development trend and firmly commit themselves to development of oil and gas businesses, drawing up a natural gas business development strategy on the basis of international visions. It is also necessary for the Chinese oil companies to accelerate innovation of technological and commercial patterns, take advantage of the market opportunities for low-carbon new energy business, study and release the energy industrial development trends, and improve their industrial influential power.