石油科技论坛

石油科技论坛 ›› 2011, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (4): 39-42.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-302x.2011.04.012

• 专家论坛 • 上一篇    下一篇

运用预测因应性原理指导油田精细开发

李斌1, 冉国良2, 高正虹3   

  1. 1. 中国石油冀东油田公司;
    2. 中国石油冀东油田公司陆上油田作业区;
    3. 中国石油华北油田公司勘探开发研究院
  • 收稿日期:2011-06-23 出版日期:2011-08-25 发布日期:2015-12-14

Fine Oilfield Development Based on Predictive Cause-Effect Principle

Li Bin1, Ran Guo-liang2, Gao Zheng-hong3   

  1. 1. PetroChina Jidong Oilfield Company;
    2. Onshore Oilfield Operational Zone of PetroChina Jidong Oilfield Company;
    3. Research Institute of Exploration and Development, PetroChina Huabei Oilfield Company
  • Received:2011-06-23 Online:2011-08-25 Published:2015-12-14

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摘要： 油田开发具有自然性与社会性二重属性,人的主动参与是它的本质特征之一。但实际上,人的参与一般是被动的,往往是事情发生后才采取补救措施。在油田开发中应自觉主动地运用预测因应性原理,从系统论的整体性观点出发,按照预测结果,对可能发生的问题主动地采取趋利避害措施,防患于未然。这样,才能有充分的余地进行油田精细开发,才能取得经济有效地开发油田和提高油田最终采收率的良好结果。要充分重视油田开发的过程和过程中的细节,局部的、某一环节的失误,可能会带来不良后果,甚至是难以补救的后果。文中实例总结了正反两方面的经验教训,说明了采取有针对性的、正确的、主动性措施的重要性。

关键词: 油田开发, 预测, 因应性, 采收率

Abstract: Oilfield development has both naturality and sociality, and man's auto participation is one of its essential characteristics. But generally speaking, man's participation is passive, and people tend to take remedial action after something happens. It is necessary for us to apply the predictive cause-effect principle to oilfield development initiatively, and adopt mitigation countermeasures to deal with problems probably occur, based on the predicting results. Only in this way there is enough room for us to carry out fine oilfield development, to develop oilfields economically and effectively, and to enhance ultimate recovery. Enough attention needs to be paid to the development process and details, since any part or link of the process may result in terrible consequences. This paper illustrates with examples the positive and negative experience and lessons, and points out the importance of adopting well-targeted, correct, and initiative measures.

Key words: oilfield development, prediction, cause-effect nature, recovery

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