2017 年全球油气开发形势回顾与趋势展望

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1002-302x.2018.05.010

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 通过系统梳理全球油气田个数、分布含油气盆地、剩余可采储量、历年油气产量等数据，分4 种类型（陆上常规油田、陆上常规气田、海域常规油气、非常规油气）和六大区域（中亚—俄罗斯、中东、非洲、美洲、亚太、欧洲）分析了全球油气田开发现状。从国际油价、投资成本、油藏类型、技术创新、资源国政策及国际石油公司发展战略角度对2017 年全球油气开发形势进行了研判。具体包括：原油价格震荡上行，油气开发投资恢复增长；油气开发成本降低，油气开发效益明显提升；天然气消费增速回暖，天然气产量稳定增长；注重油气可持续发展，海域油气开发稳步提升；突出效益优先理念，差异化发展非常规油气；强化开发技术创新，持续提高油气开发效果；资源国政策调整频繁，投资热点有所扩展；国际公司引领地位明显，由生存向发展转变。并从资源类型、区域布局及油藏类型对全球油气未来的发展趋势进行了展望。

关键词: 全球油气资源, 开发形势, 趋势展望, 陆上常规油气, 海域常规油气, 非常规油气, 剩余可采储量, 油气产量, 新建产能

Abstract: This paper sorts out some important data, such as the figures of global oil and gas fields, distribution of oil and gas basins, remaining recoverable reserves and oil and gas outputs in history. The global oil and gas fields are divided into four types -- onshore conventional oilfields, onshore conventional gas fields, offshore conventional oil and gas fields, unconventional oil and gas fields -- and six main regions -- Central Asia-Russia, Middle East, Africa, America, Asia-Pacific and Europe). It also analyzes the present conditions of global oil and gas field development. The analysis of global oil and gas development situation in 2017 is based on international oil prices, investment cost, types of oil reservoirs, technological innovation, policies of resources nations, and development strategy of international oil companies. It concludes that crude oil prices are climbing in fluctuations and investment growth is resumed for oil and gas development. The oil and gas development cost is lowered, remarkably improving oil and gas development performance. Natural gas consumption starts to rise again with stable growth in natural gas production. Sustainable oil and gas development is emphasized while offshore oil and gas development is steadily on the rise. The conception of “put economic benefit first” is highlighted with unconventional oil and gas brought under differentiated development. Innovations of development technology are intensified to keep improving the results of oil and gas development. Resource-host countries frequently adjust their policies to enlarge the hot spots for investment. International companies, with a solid position of leader, are in the transition from survival to development. The paper also outlooks into the future global oil and gas development trend from the perspectives of resources types, regional distribution and reservoir types.

中图分类号:

常毓文　王作乾　刘保磊　蒋伟娜　韦　青　陈　希. 2017 年全球油气开发形势回顾与趋势展望[J]. 石油科技论坛, 2018, 37(5): 64-74.

Chang Yuwen, Wang Zuoqian, Liu Baolei, Jiang Weina, Wei Qing, Chen Xi. Review of Global Oil and Gas Development Situation in 2017 and Outlook of Its Development Trend[J]. Petroleum Science and Technology Forum, 2018, 37(5): 64-74.

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