石油科技论坛 ›› 2013, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (4): 37-42, 71,72.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-302x.2013.04.010

• 环球石油 • 上一篇    下一篇

跨国石油公司结构调整效应论评

罗佐县1,陈嘉林2   

  1. 1.中国石化石油勘探开发研究院;2.中国政法大学商学院
  • 出版日期:2015-04-26 发布日期:2015-04-25
  • 基金资助:
    中国石化石油勘探开发研究院科研项目“石油公司产业结构研究”

Comment on Structural Adjustment Effect of Multinational Oil Companies

Luo Zuoxian1,Chen Jialin2   

  • Online:2015-04-26 Published:2015-04-25

摘要: 简要分析了已动用资本回报率ROCE的经济含义。选取埃克森美孚、BP、雪佛龙、壳牌、道达尔5家跨国石油公司为研究对象,分析近10年来跨国石油公司在ROCE指标、上下游结构、油气结构、本土海外产量结构等方面的指标走势,发现石油公司上下游结构变化具有局部调整常态化与总体稳定的特点,天然气产量在油气总产量中的比重保持上升,海外油气产量比重逐年增长。基于发展的本质内涵是结构调整这一基本认识,建立经济模型,运用相关分析法对上述公司ROCE与结构指标变化的相关性进行了分析,研究石油公司结构转型效应。分析结果显示,石油公司上游业务对投资回报的贡献程度普遍高于下游,原油业务对投资回报的贡献程度普遍高于天然气,在风险频发形势下海外油气业务贡献程度依然在逐渐提高。在此基础上,归纳和总结了跨国石油公司结构变化的战略驱动因素以及结构调整路径的共性和差异,期望能够为正在走向国际化的国内石油公司提供借鉴。

关键词: ROCE, 跨国石油公司, 结构指标, 相关分析法

Abstract: This article briefs about economic meaning of Return on Capital Employed (ROCE). Five multinational oil companies, such as Exxon-Mobil, BP, Chevron, Shell and Total, are selected as the targets for study. The article analyzes the index trend of multinational oil companies in the areas of ROCE, structures of upstream and downstream sectors, oil and gas structure, local and overseas production structure. It is found that the upstream and downstream structural changes of oil companies are characterized with constant adjustment in part but stability in general. The proportion of natural gas to the total oil and gas productionkeeps rising while overseas oil and gas production is on the annual rise. Based on the understanding of their internal development and structural adjustment, the article adopts the relative analytical methods to get insight into the index changes in ROCE and structure of above-mentioned companies and focus on their structural conversion effects. The analytical results indicate that the return of investment in upstream business is higher than that in downstream business for the oil companies while the return of investment in crude oil business is higher than natural gas business. Even under the situation of frequent risks, overseas oil and gas business is still on the increase. It also summarizes the strategic driving factors of structural adjustment of multinational oil companies, including the similarity and singularity of structural adjustment paths in order to provide some experiences for the domestic oil companies under internationalization process.

Key words: ROCE, multinational oil companies, structural indexes, relativeanalytical methods, structural adjustment

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