石油科技论坛 ›› 2025, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (5): 76-83.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-302X.2025.05.009

• 案例研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

中美页岩油成本探究与认识

唐玮1,朱玉新2,刘嘉翌1,李洋1,黄擎宇1,李欣瑶1   

  1. 1. 中国石油勘探开发研究院; 2. 中国石油油气和新能源分公司
  • 发布日期:2025-12-26
  • 作者简介:唐玮,1973年生,2009年毕业于中国石油勘探开发研究院,博士,正高级工程师,主要从事油气战略规划研究工作。
  • 基金资助:
    中国石油天然气集团有限公司软科学研究课题“‘七年行动计划’后持续加大勘探开发力度研究”(编号:20250107-1)。

Understanding of Shale Oil Costs in China and America

Tang Wei1,Zhu Yuxin2,Liu Jiayi1,Li Yang1,Huang Qingyu1,Li Xinyao1   

  1. 1. PetroChina Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration & Development, Beijing 100083, China; 2. PetroChina Oil, Gas and New Energy Company, Beijing 100007, China
  • Published:2025-12-26

摘要: 美国页岩油开发已形成成熟的技术体系和规模化作业模式,为我国页岩油勘探开发提供了大量地质工程经验,但我国针对美国页岩油成本的对标分析不够全面和深入。根据调研分析,美国页岩油成本主要影响因素包括资源和地理条件、开发阶段、外部经济条件等,根据成本项目构成可分为全周期成本、半周期成本、开采成本,其中,全周期成本与我国完全成本虽不能完全对应,但具有一定可比性。美国页岩油成本总体呈上升态势,当前全周期成本平均约为60美元/bbl,总体低于我国页岩油完全成本。为推进我国页岩油规模开发和科学决策,应加强中美页岩油分地区、分开发阶段的成本细化对标,建立与油价、政策、开发阶段等联动的完全成本评价考核体系,并强化技术和管理创新推动成本控降和效益开发。

关键词: 页岩油;全周期成本;半周期成本;完全成本;开发阶段

Abstract: The United States has developed a mature technological system for shale oil development and established a largescale operational model in this area, providing China rich geological and engineering experience in shale oil exploration and development. However, the benchmark analysis of the US shale oil cost is insufficient and superficial in China. Based on the related investigation and analysis, the main influential factors of the US shale oil cost include the resource and geographical conditions, development stages and external economic conditions. Based on the structure of the cost item, shale oil cost can be classified into full-cycle cost, half-cycle cost and development cost, of which the full-cycle cost is comparable to China’s total cost to a certain extent. Generally speaking, the US shale oil cost is on the rise. Currently, the full-cycle cost is about $60 per barrel on average, lower than China’s total shale oil cost. To promote China’s large-scale shale oil development and help the nation make scientific decisions, it is necessary to benchmark the China-US shale oil costs in detail according to regions and development stages, establish the assessment and examination system for the total cost in relations with the oil prices, policies and development stages, and strengthen technological and managerial innovation for cost control and efficient development.

Key words: shale oil; full-cycle cost; half-cycle cost; total cost; development stages

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